AVIATION WEATHER DISCUSSION 
  NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
  
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  ***      NY METRO TERMINAL WEATHER DISCUSSION       ***
  *******************************************************
  
   ISSUED AT: 705 AM EST TUE NOV 24 2009
  .AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
  SUB VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF TODAY...AS LOW PRESSURE 
  PASSES WELL EAST RESULTING IN MOIST NORTHEAST FLOW. BIG QUESTION 
  WILL BE WHAT HAPPENS WITH THE CLOUDS/CEILINGS TODAY. THERE SHOULD BE 
  ENOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TRAPPED UNDER AN INVERSION KEEPING 
  CIGS BETWEEN 1-3KFT. CIGS WILL BE SLOW TO IMPROVE THROUGH THE DAY. 
  THERE IS A CHANCE WE LOSE SOME OF THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND 
  CONDITIONS IMPROVE TO LOW END VFR CONDITIONS.
  
  A STEADY NORTHEAST WIND GRADUALLY DECREASING TO 5-10 KT RANGE 
  TODAY.
  
  TONIGHT...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASE WITH CIGS FALLING TO POSSIBLY 
  IFR. 
  
  MVFR/IFR CIGS HANG AROUND INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING AND COULD LINGER 
  TOWARD EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
  
  TAF COMMENTS (FORECASTER INSIGHT ON TIMING, CONFIDENCE, TRENDS AND GROUND OPS)
  
  KEWR...EARLY IFR CIGS STARTING TO APPEAR LESS LIKELY. 
  CEILINGS COULD SCATTER TO VFR AFTER 18Z.
  
  KEWR HOURLY WIND FORECAST
  ALL WIND DIRECTIONS ARE TRUE...ADD 13 DEGREES FOR MAGNETIC        
       24/12Z 02012KT    
       24/13Z 02011KT    
       24/14Z 02010KT    
       24/15Z 02010KT 
       24/16Z 02009KT    
       24/17Z 02008KT    
       24/18Z 02008KT    
       24/19Z 02008KT    
       24/20Z 02008KT    
       24/21Z 03008KT    
  
  KJFK...EARLY IFR CIGS STARTING TO APPEAR LESS LIKELY. 
  CEILINGS COULD SCATTER TO VFR AFTER 18Z.
  
  KLGA...CEILINGS COULD SCATTER TO VFR AFTER 18Z.
  
  KTEB...EARLY IFR CIGS STARTING TO APPEAR LESS LIKELY. 
  CEILINGS COULD SCATTER TO VFR AFTER 18Z.
  
  KHPN...EARLY IFR CIGS STARTING TO APPEAR LESS LIKELY. 
  CEILINGS COULD SCATTER TO VFR AFTER 18Z.
  
  KSWF...CEILINGS COULD SCATTER TO VFR AFTER 18Z.
  
  KISP...CEILINGS COULD SCATTER TO VFR AFTER 18Z.
  
  KBDR...CEILINGS COULD SCATTER TO VFR AFTER 18Z.
  
  KGON...CEILINGS COULD SCATTER TO VFR AFTER 18Z.
  
  OUTLOOK 12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY... 
  
  WEDNESDAY...VFR WITH CONTINUED DECREASING WINDS. WINDS TURN TO MORE 
  EASTERLY BY WEDNESDAY. LOWERING CIGS TO IFR POSSIBLY INTO WEDNESDAY 
  MORNING. 
  
  WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...SUB-VFR POSSIBLE IN LIGHT RAIN.
  
  FRIDAY...SUB-VFR POSSIBLE IN SHOWERS. SNOW POSSIBLY MIXING IN
  NORTH AND WEST OF THE NYC TERMINALS AT NIGHT. 
  
  SATURDAY...VFR CEILINGS IN STRONG COLD ADVECTION/CYCLONIC FLOW.
  
  &&
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  ***        NY AIR ROUTE TRAFFIC CONTROL CENTER      ***
  ***                DAILY SWAP OUTLOOK               ***
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  THE ZNY ARTCC SEVERE WEATHER AVOIDANCE PLAN (SWAP) OUTLOOK
  IS CURRENTLY UNAVAILABLE.
  
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  ***    LATEST NY AIR ROUTE TRAFFIC CONTROL CENTER   ***
  ***         METEOROLOGICAL IMPACT STATEMENT         ***
  *******************************************************
  
  ...FOR ATC PLANNING PURPOSES ONLY...
  ISSUED: 850PM MONDAY...NOVEMBER 23 2009
  .
  NEAR TERM IMPACTS: 240150Z-240750Z
  -RA/DZ WILL CONT OVER MOST OF ZNY AIRSPACE THRU THE PD.
  .
  ENROUTE:
  TURB...ONCL MOD TURB PSBL BLW 120 OVER ERN ZNY THRU 09Z.
  ICE...LGT-MOD ICING FM 070-FL240 OVER ALL ZNY THRU THE PD. LOC SEV 
  ICING PSBL.
  .
  TRACON/TERMINAL FORECAST N90/NYC METROS/PHL TRACON THRU 13Z:
  AT NY...PDS OF -RA WITH 5-6SM VSBYS. CIGS START 010-015...BECOMING 
  IFR BY 03-04Z. WINDS 030-060 DEGREES 10-15KT. GUSTS TO 20KT AT LGA 
  EARLY. AT PHL...-DZ/-RA THRU THE PD WITH 4-6SM VSBYS...BECOMING 
  2-4SM AROUND 03Z. IFR CIGS 005-009...WITH PDS OF LIFR LATE TNGT THRU 
  EARLY MORNING. WINDS 030-060 DEGREES 10-15KT.
  .
  LLWS/COMPRESSION: NONE
  .
  ZNY OCEANIC FORECAST:
  ALFA SIGMETS FOR TS OVER ERN ZNY OCEANIC AIRSPACE WITH TOPS TO 
  FL400...MOVING E 20KT. SCT TS N OF BDA. ISOL-SCT TS OVER NC OFFSHORE 
  WATERS WITH TOPS TO FL330.
  .
  OUTLOOK FOR TRACON AREAS: 24/1300Z-25/0100Z
  RAIN ENDING TUE MORNING. NY CONDS IMPROVE TO VFR BY LATE MORNING. 
  PHL WILL HAVE IFR CIGS UNTIL LATE AFTN...THEN MVFR. NY WINDS N-NE 
  10KT. PHL WNDS N-NE 5-10KT.
   .
  NO UPDATES AFTER 240300Z...KCS
  
  
  =